Sunday, May 08, 2011

The link between 800,000 and 30 seats

Seems that the Liberal Party now has a habit: shedding 800,000 votes in each of 2 elections (2008 and 2011), and losing around 30 seats each time it does this (from √Čric Grenier of the Globe & Mail):

But it was the Liberals who lost the most votes. For the second consecutive election, about 800,000 fewer Canadians cast their ballots for Liberal candidates than they did in the previous election. In total, the Liberals lost 850,010 votes, dropping in every part of the country.

It was in Ontario (342,961 fewer votes) and Quebec (322,032) that the Liberals lost the lion’s share of their support. This represented 78.2 per cent of the votes lost by the party, despite the two provinces making up only 63.4 per cent of all votes cast in the country. Nevertheless, the Liberals also lost about 15,000 votes in Alberta, 31,000 votes in the Prairie provinces, 43,000 votes in Atlantic Canada, and over 95,000 votes in British Columbia.

Nero fiddling ...
The only problem is that right now the LPC only has a smidgeon above 30 seats, and so if this relationship holds, and we lose another 800,000 seats in 2015, this would mean zero Liberal MPs.

Why would another 800,000 supporters not vote for the party in 2015? Perhaps because enough Liberals decide enough is enough, and take a hike because party officers and MPs decide not to give effect to the clear wording of the party's constitution, and instead take steps to deny or delay the right of members of the Liberal Party to vote on a permanent leader within 5 months of the May 3 indication by Ignatieff that he intended to resign as leader.

Fiddling with a party's constitution and the rights of its members is a dangerous thing to think about, and to do.

Just ask Nero – he fiddled while Rome burned.

1 comment :

  1. Get rid off the upper echelons is a start.


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