Monday, June 18, 2012

The Cullen Plan – Harper Tories would go down, poll says


Angus-Reid is to be congratulated for polling Canadians on the Cullen Plan, rather than just focusing on the simplistic 'merger' issue.

The latest Angus-Reid poll has this interesting snippet about the response to the Cullen Plan's proposal that the NDP and LPC decide in individual ridings to select just one candidate to run against sitting Conservative Party MPs come the next election:

Recently, some NDP and Liberal riding associations across the country have mused that they are considering supporting a joint candidate between the two of them in the next federal election to consolidate support and improve the chances of that joint candidate defeating the riding’s Conservative candidate. If this scenario materialized in their riding, 38 per cent of Canadians would be willing to vote for the joint NDP/Liberal candidate—including 37 per cent in British Columbia, 38 per cent in Ontario and 44 per cent in Quebec.

Note the high positive responses to the choice in the three major battleground provinces of BC, Ontario and Quebec.

And note especially the very high positive in Quebec: this is an indication that voters there clearly want the Harper new Tories ousted from governing Canada because of their regressive social and economic policies.

This poll should be carefully considered by riding associations of the two parties in all parts of Canada. We have seen some start in some ridings, but Canada really needs ordinary voters to take their  future i nto their own hands, if the leaders of the NDP and LPC cannot come to grips with the fact that a divided non-Tory vote means more Harper repressive government.

Adopting the Cullen Plan at riding level is a means for ordinary Canadians to overcome our archaic first-past-the-post election system, by taking direct action themselves rather than waiting for electoral reform.

It is our Parliament; let's adopt the Cullen Plan to send representatives to Parliament who better represent the majority of voters in most of the 308 ridings.

5 comments :

  1. All recent polling should point towards the fact that Cullen's plan was and is unnecessary for a non-Conservative option to gain momentum and become a threat to the Harper regime.

    It is pointless, and it always has been. What Cullen and, frankly, yourself do not understand is that simply throwing up so-called "Unity" candidates does not mean people will vote for that candidate. If we have Unity candidates running around, yet the Opposition parties remain inept messes with some pretty severe handicaps, the Conservatives will STILL win elections. It is not just about setting up a dichotomy, it is also about ensuring that there is quality behind the candidate and the respective parties as well.

    And there is the problem, because once you have a party that seemingly has credibility, you no longer need to have silly Unity candidates because the NDP candidates can win on their own. They don't need to literally muscle out all competition from any other Opposition party to win because there is likely enough voters willing to back the NDP to win a riding with a plurality.

    And that is why Cullen, now the House Leader, no longer talks about his inane plan. Only you do. No one else cares. You are beating the skin off a decomposed horse.

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  2. The Cullen Plan of electoral cooperation is a valid choice for members of the NDP and LPC at riding levels to consider.

    And the objective is simple: to replace the Harper new Tories with a different government (probably a coalition one) which will govern our country in a centre-left fashion for several years, so that voters enjoy MPs chosen by the majority of voters in these ridings, running the show.

    Any MPs elected through the Cullen Plan being implemented in their ridings will be far more willing to cooperate with other parties in Parliament than the current Tory MPs are.

    So the positives are high and the negatives very low.

    And just because the leadership of the opposition parties currently do not want to talk about electoral cooperation does not mean that the majority of voters in Canada want to avoid such discussions. Recent polls clearly show that voters are ahead of party leaders on the issue of cooperation to change the government in 2014-2015.

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  3. 38% in Ontario? So,in what becomes largely two way races through Ontario, who do you think the other 62% of Ontarians vote for?

    Liberals tend to be stunningly arrogant. There is no way a Lib riding association would agree to a decision to not place a candidate because an NDP has been selected. Keep in mind the selected NDP could for example be against a gun registry.

    The plan if it became popular would lead to a merger, logically speaking.

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  4. Anon, the poll shows that if the Cullen Plan was used, then 30% would vote Tory, 38% for the Cullen Plan candidate (either NDP or Liberal, depending on the riding's choice), 8% would vote for another candidate (I guess probably Green or Bloc), and 24% are undecided.

    That undecided group is key: if they do not vote at all, the Cullen Plan succeeds.

    If they break evenly between the MDP-LPC candidates and the Tory candidates, then the NDP-LPC win.

    If they break mostly for the Tories, the Tory MPs return to the House.

    But a key statistic is that of those voters in the survey who made a choice, MORE chose to vote for the NDP-LPC Cullen candidate (38%) than for the sitting Tory MP (30%).

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  5. This is a very political game but am I the only person who is looking for a leader who will get Canada working again, honest politicans and unbiased leadership.
    I voted Liberal last time because I did not want Harper to have a majority.
    I want to vote for a party that will work for Canada and Candians. Stop playing games

    ReplyDelete

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