Saturday, October 13, 2012

The Republican Party: SS Titanic and the coming iceberg

SS Republican aka Titanic
The Tea Party is winning the battle to be captain on board the good ship Republican, but just as they are about to grasp the wheel and heel the ship even more over to starboard, some in the party have noticed one startling fact: There is an iceberg on the horizon.

And it is a huge one.

The party seniors have suddenly realized that the Grand Old Party really is a party of and for white Americans.

Don’t believe that? Then consider this: 87% of its voters are white:

The numbers tell the tale. Minorities have accounted for 85 percent of the country’s population growth over the past decade, according to the US Census Bureau. A record 24 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote in the 2012 presidential election, up 22 percent since 2008. Meanwhile, nearly 87 percent of registered Republican voters are white. And whites have declined as a portion of the electorate in every presidential election since 1992.

It’s getting harder and harder to cobble together a winning coalition based on the grievances of a diminishing faction of white men, and many Republicans know it.
An unnamed strategist was quoted in the National Journal in August explaining that Mitt Romney campaign’s formula for winning the presidency involves capturing 61 percent of the white vote (more than any candidate since Ronald Reagan). “This is the last time anyone will try to do this,” the strategist said.

There is no way to avoid that iceberg if the Tea Party continues its death grip on the throat of the GOP.

Meanwhile, as America changes colour for mostly whites to rainbow hues, these new voters favour the Democratic Party by large margins.

That’s what happens when you build an inclusive party rather than an exclusive party.
Will the GOP learn the lesson of the crib? Probably. But it might take 3 or 4 lost elections before the lesson sinks in.

1 comment :

  1. "Colour" ? So, is this written by a Brit ? Ah, a Canadian. However, even in Canadian [I mean, British English,] one changes something FROM something to something else, NOT "for" something to something else. Duh. Editor ?


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