David Kirkpatrick has an interesting analysis in the New York Times about how badly Morsi miscalculated in the months and days leading up to his ouster as president of Egypt by the Army, including his faulty information:
Inside Mr. Morsi’s office. Mr. Morsi’s team checked the official crowd count, sent their own observers, monitored the gathering on Google Earth, and even compared the numbers of mobile phone signals in various public squared, one adviser said, and mistakenly concluded that the pro-Morsi rally in Cairo outnumbered the protests against him.
“We felt a sense of relief,” the adviser said.
Leaders who are out of touch with their people usually do pay a price.